Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.027010 0.029383 0.031867 0.034663 0.037724 0.040975 0.044692
2025-07-13 0.023005 0.026402 0.030165 0.034650 0.039859 0.045728 0.052856
2025-07-20 0.020476 0.024449 0.029041 0.034754 0.041690 0.049864 0.060262
2025-07-27 0.018699 0.023056 0.028267 0.034981 0.043436 0.053775 0.067444
2025-08-03 0.017085 0.021648 0.027265 0.034723 0.044414 0.056649 0.073372
2025-08-10 0.016013 0.020790 0.026827 0.035059 0.046063 0.060362 0.080512
2025-08-17 0.014786 0.019617 0.025863 0.034588 0.046550 0.062505 0.085609
2025-08-24 0.013677 0.018506 0.024883 0.033989 0.046766 0.064221 0.090146
2025-08-31 0.012806 0.017648 0.024171 0.033679 0.047315 0.066368 0.095355
2025-09-07 0.012049 0.016893 0.023540 0.033418 0.047881 0.068525 0.100654
2025-09-14 0.011401 0.016246 0.023011 0.033251 0.048542 0.070815 0.106242
2025-09-21 0.010742 0.015542 0.022354 0.032845 0.048801 0.072493 0.110962
2025-09-28 0.010279 0.015119 0.022112 0.033085 0.050114 0.075938 0.118826
2025-10-05 0.009780 0.014617 0.021727 0.033091 0.051076 0.078916 0.126192
2025-10-12 0.009349 0.014189 0.021424 0.033193 0.052178 0.082160 0.134187
2025-10-19 0.008982 0.013835 0.021208 0.033409 0.053459 0.085742 0.142960
2025-10-26 0.008536 0.013332 0.020728 0.033164 0.053958 0.088058 0.149712
2025-11-02 0.008251 0.013066 0.020604 0.033483 0.055397 0.092001 0.159526
2025-11-09 0.007823 0.012545 0.020040 0.033035 0.055503 0.093674 0.165407
2025-11-16 0.007400 0.012012 0.019426 0.032464 0.055355 0.094880 0.170497
2025-11-23 0.007062 0.011600 0.018991 0.032169 0.055660 0.096883 0.177164
2025-11-30 0.006756 0.011225 0.018597 0.031921 0.056027 0.099002 0.184169
2025-12-07 0.006486 0.010898 0.018266 0.031762 0.056537 0.101397 0.191843